An evidence synthesis approach to estimating the incidence of seasonal influenza in the Netherlands.
Identifieur interne : 000129 ( Main/Exploration ); précédent : 000128; suivant : 000130An evidence synthesis approach to estimating the incidence of seasonal influenza in the Netherlands.
Auteurs : Scott A. Mcdonald [Pays-Bas] ; Anne M. Presanis ; Daniela De Angelis ; Wim Van Der Hoek ; Mariette Hooiveld ; Gé Donker ; Mirjam E. KretzschmarSource :
- Influenza and other respiratory viruses [ 1750-2659 ] ; 2014.
Descripteurs français
- KwdFr :
- Adolescent (MeSH), Adulte (MeSH), Adulte d'âge moyen (MeSH), Enfant (MeSH), Enfant d'âge préscolaire (MeSH), Femelle (MeSH), Grippe humaine (épidémiologie), Humains (MeSH), Incidence (MeSH), Jeune adulte (MeSH), Mâle (MeSH), Nourrisson (MeSH), Nouveau-né (MeSH), Pays-Bas (épidémiologie), Sujet âgé (MeSH), Sujet âgé de 80 ans ou plus (MeSH).
- MESH :
- épidémiologie : Grippe humaine, Pays-Bas.
- Adolescent, Adulte, Adulte d'âge moyen, Enfant, Enfant d'âge préscolaire, Femelle, Humains, Incidence, Jeune adulte, Mâle, Nourrisson, Nouveau-né, Sujet âgé, Sujet âgé de 80 ans ou plus.
- Wicri :
- geographic : Pays-Bas.
English descriptors
- KwdEn :
- Adolescent (MeSH), Adult (MeSH), Aged (MeSH), Aged, 80 and over (MeSH), Child (MeSH), Child, Preschool (MeSH), Female (MeSH), Humans (MeSH), Incidence (MeSH), Infant (MeSH), Infant, Newborn (MeSH), Influenza, Human (epidemiology), Male (MeSH), Middle Aged (MeSH), Netherlands (epidemiology), Young Adult (MeSH).
- MESH :
- geographic , epidemiology : Netherlands.
- epidemiology : Influenza, Human.
- Adolescent, Adult, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Child, Child, Preschool, Female, Humans, Incidence, Infant, Infant, Newborn, Male, Middle Aged, Young Adult.
Abstract
OBJECTIVES
To estimate, using Bayesian evidence synthesis, the age-group-specific annual incidence of symptomatic infection with seasonal influenza in the Netherlands over the period 2005-2007.
METHODS
The Netherlands population and age group distribution for 2006 defined the base population. The number of influenza-like illness (ILI) cases was estimated from sentinel surveillance data and adjusted for underascertainment using the estimated proportion of ILI cases that do not consult a general practitioner. The estimated number of symptomatic influenza (SI) cases was based on indirect evidence from the surveillance of ILI cases and the proportions of laboratory-confirmed influenza cases in the 2004/5, 2005/6 and 2006/7 respiratory years. In scenario analysis, the number of SI cases prevented by increasing vaccination uptake within the 65 + age group was estimated.
RESULTS
The overall symptomatic infection attack rate (SIAR) over the period 2005-2007 was estimated at 2·5% (95% credible interval [CI]: 2·1-3·2%); 410 200 SI cases (95% CI: 338 500-518 600) were estimated to occur annually. Age-group-specific SIARs were estimated for <5 years at 4·9% (2·1-13·7%), for 5-14 years at 3·0% (2·0-4·7%), for 15-44 years at 2·6% (2·1-3·2%), for 45-64 years at 1·9% (1·4-2·5%) and for 65 + years at 1·7% (1·0-3·0%). Under assumed vaccination uptake increases of 5% and 15%, 1970 and 5310 SI cases would be averted.
CONCLUSIONS
By synthesising the available information on seasonal influenza and ILI from diverse sources, the annual extent of symptomatic infection can be derived. These estimates are useful for assessing the burden of seasonal influenza and for guiding vaccination policy.
DOI: 10.1111/irv.12201
PubMed: 24209610
PubMed Central: PMC4177796
Affiliations:
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Presanis</name></author><author><name sortKey="De Angelis, Daniela" sort="De Angelis, Daniela" uniqKey="De Angelis D" first="Daniela" last="De Angelis">Daniela De Angelis</name></author><author><name sortKey="Van Der Hoek, Wim" sort="Van Der Hoek, Wim" uniqKey="Van Der Hoek W" first="Wim" last="Van Der Hoek">Wim Van Der Hoek</name></author><author><name sortKey="Hooiveld, Mariette" sort="Hooiveld, Mariette" uniqKey="Hooiveld M" first="Mariette" last="Hooiveld">Mariette Hooiveld</name></author><author><name sortKey="Donker, Ge" sort="Donker, Ge" uniqKey="Donker G" first="Gé" last="Donker">Gé Donker</name></author><author><name sortKey="Kretzschmar, Mirjam E" sort="Kretzschmar, Mirjam E" uniqKey="Kretzschmar M" first="Mirjam E" last="Kretzschmar">Mirjam E. Kretzschmar</name></author></titleStmt><publicationStmt><idno type="wicri:source">PubMed</idno><date when="2014">2014</date><idno type="RBID">pubmed:24209610</idno><idno type="pmid">24209610</idno><idno type="doi">10.1111/irv.12201</idno><idno type="pmc">PMC4177796</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Main/Corpus">000129</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="Main" wicri:step="Corpus" wicri:corpus="PubMed">000129</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Main/Curation">000129</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="Main" wicri:step="Curation">000129</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Main/Exploration">000129</idno></publicationStmt><sourceDesc><biblStruct><analytic><title xml:lang="en">An evidence synthesis approach to estimating the incidence of seasonal influenza in the Netherlands.</title><author><name sortKey="Mcdonald, Scott A" sort="Mcdonald, Scott A" uniqKey="Mcdonald S" first="Scott A" last="Mcdonald">Scott A. Mcdonald</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Centre for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, the Netherlands.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr" wicri:curation="lc">Pays-Bas</country><wicri:regionArea>Centre for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Bilthoven</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Presanis, Anne M" sort="Presanis, Anne M" uniqKey="Presanis A" first="Anne M" last="Presanis">Anne M. Presanis</name></author><author><name sortKey="De Angelis, Daniela" sort="De Angelis, Daniela" uniqKey="De Angelis D" first="Daniela" last="De Angelis">Daniela De Angelis</name></author><author><name sortKey="Van Der Hoek, Wim" sort="Van Der Hoek, Wim" uniqKey="Van Der Hoek W" first="Wim" last="Van Der Hoek">Wim Van Der Hoek</name></author><author><name sortKey="Hooiveld, Mariette" sort="Hooiveld, Mariette" uniqKey="Hooiveld M" first="Mariette" last="Hooiveld">Mariette Hooiveld</name></author><author><name sortKey="Donker, Ge" sort="Donker, Ge" uniqKey="Donker G" first="Gé" last="Donker">Gé Donker</name></author><author><name sortKey="Kretzschmar, Mirjam E" sort="Kretzschmar, Mirjam E" uniqKey="Kretzschmar M" first="Mirjam E" last="Kretzschmar">Mirjam E. Kretzschmar</name></author></analytic><series><title level="j">Influenza and other respiratory viruses</title><idno type="eISSN">1750-2659</idno><imprint><date when="2014" type="published">2014</date></imprint></series></biblStruct></sourceDesc></fileDesc><profileDesc><textClass><keywords scheme="KwdEn" xml:lang="en"><term>Adolescent (MeSH)</term><term>Adult (MeSH)</term><term>Aged (MeSH)</term><term>Aged, 80 and over (MeSH)</term><term>Child (MeSH)</term><term>Child, Preschool (MeSH)</term><term>Female (MeSH)</term><term>Humans (MeSH)</term><term>Incidence (MeSH)</term><term>Infant (MeSH)</term><term>Infant, Newborn (MeSH)</term><term>Influenza, Human (epidemiology)</term><term>Male (MeSH)</term><term>Middle Aged (MeSH)</term><term>Netherlands (epidemiology)</term><term>Young Adult (MeSH)</term></keywords><keywords scheme="KwdFr" xml:lang="fr"><term>Adolescent (MeSH)</term><term>Adulte (MeSH)</term><term>Adulte d'âge moyen (MeSH)</term><term>Enfant (MeSH)</term><term>Enfant d'âge préscolaire (MeSH)</term><term>Femelle (MeSH)</term><term>Grippe humaine (épidémiologie)</term><term>Humains (MeSH)</term><term>Incidence (MeSH)</term><term>Jeune adulte (MeSH)</term><term>Mâle (MeSH)</term><term>Nourrisson (MeSH)</term><term>Nouveau-né (MeSH)</term><term>Pays-Bas (épidémiologie)</term><term>Sujet âgé (MeSH)</term><term>Sujet âgé de 80 ans ou plus (MeSH)</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" type="geographic" qualifier="epidemiology" xml:lang="en"><term>Netherlands</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="epidemiology" xml:lang="en"><term>Influenza, Human</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="épidémiologie" xml:lang="fr"><term>Grippe humaine</term><term>Pays-Bas</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" xml:lang="en"><term>Adolescent</term><term>Adult</term><term>Aged</term><term>Aged, 80 and over</term><term>Child</term><term>Child, Preschool</term><term>Female</term><term>Humans</term><term>Incidence</term><term>Infant</term><term>Infant, Newborn</term><term>Male</term><term>Middle Aged</term><term>Young Adult</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" xml:lang="fr"><term>Adolescent</term><term>Adulte</term><term>Adulte d'âge moyen</term><term>Enfant</term><term>Enfant d'âge préscolaire</term><term>Femelle</term><term>Humains</term><term>Incidence</term><term>Jeune adulte</term><term>Mâle</term><term>Nourrisson</term><term>Nouveau-né</term><term>Sujet âgé</term><term>Sujet âgé de 80 ans ou plus</term></keywords><keywords scheme="Wicri" type="geographic" xml:lang="fr"><term>Pays-Bas</term></keywords></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><p><b>OBJECTIVES</b></p><p>To estimate, using Bayesian evidence synthesis, the age-group-specific annual incidence of symptomatic infection with seasonal influenza in the Netherlands over the period 2005-2007.</p></div><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><p><b>METHODS</b></p><p>The Netherlands population and age group distribution for 2006 defined the base population. The number of influenza-like illness (ILI) cases was estimated from sentinel surveillance data and adjusted for underascertainment using the estimated proportion of ILI cases that do not consult a general practitioner. The estimated number of symptomatic influenza (SI) cases was based on indirect evidence from the surveillance of ILI cases and the proportions of laboratory-confirmed influenza cases in the 2004/5, 2005/6 and 2006/7 respiratory years. In scenario analysis, the number of SI cases prevented by increasing vaccination uptake within the 65 + age group was estimated.</p></div><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><p><b>RESULTS</b></p><p>The overall symptomatic infection attack rate (SIAR) over the period 2005-2007 was estimated at 2·5% (95% credible interval [CI]: 2·1-3·2%); 410 200 SI cases (95% CI: 338 500-518 600) were estimated to occur annually. Age-group-specific SIARs were estimated for <5 years at 4·9% (2·1-13·7%), for 5-14 years at 3·0% (2·0-4·7%), for 15-44 years at 2·6% (2·1-3·2%), for 45-64 years at 1·9% (1·4-2·5%) and for 65 + years at 1·7% (1·0-3·0%). Under assumed vaccination uptake increases of 5% and 15%, 1970 and 5310 SI cases would be averted.</p></div><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><p><b>CONCLUSIONS</b></p><p>By synthesising the available information on seasonal influenza and ILI from diverse sources, the annual extent of symptomatic infection can be derived. These estimates are useful for assessing the burden of seasonal influenza and for guiding vaccination policy.</p></div></front></TEI><pubmed><MedlineCitation Status="MEDLINE" Owner="NLM"><PMID Version="1">24209610</PMID><DateCompleted><Year>2014</Year><Month>08</Month><Day>20</Day></DateCompleted><DateRevised><Year>2018</Year><Month>11</Month><Day>13</Day></DateRevised><Article PubModel="Print-Electronic"><Journal><ISSN IssnType="Electronic">1750-2659</ISSN><JournalIssue CitedMedium="Internet"><Volume>8</Volume><Issue>1</Issue><PubDate><Year>2014</Year><Month>Jan</Month></PubDate></JournalIssue><Title>Influenza and other respiratory viruses</Title><ISOAbbreviation>Influenza Other Respir Viruses</ISOAbbreviation></Journal><ArticleTitle>An evidence synthesis approach to estimating the incidence of seasonal influenza in the Netherlands.</ArticleTitle><Pagination><MedlinePgn>33-41</MedlinePgn></Pagination><ELocationID EIdType="doi" ValidYN="Y">10.1111/irv.12201</ELocationID><Abstract><AbstractText Label="OBJECTIVES" NlmCategory="OBJECTIVE">To estimate, using Bayesian evidence synthesis, the age-group-specific annual incidence of symptomatic infection with seasonal influenza in the Netherlands over the period 2005-2007.</AbstractText><AbstractText Label="METHODS" NlmCategory="METHODS">The Netherlands population and age group distribution for 2006 defined the base population. The number of influenza-like illness (ILI) cases was estimated from sentinel surveillance data and adjusted for underascertainment using the estimated proportion of ILI cases that do not consult a general practitioner. The estimated number of symptomatic influenza (SI) cases was based on indirect evidence from the surveillance of ILI cases and the proportions of laboratory-confirmed influenza cases in the 2004/5, 2005/6 and 2006/7 respiratory years. In scenario analysis, the number of SI cases prevented by increasing vaccination uptake within the 65 + age group was estimated.</AbstractText><AbstractText Label="RESULTS" NlmCategory="RESULTS">The overall symptomatic infection attack rate (SIAR) over the period 2005-2007 was estimated at 2·5% (95% credible interval [CI]: 2·1-3·2%); 410 200 SI cases (95% CI: 338 500-518 600) were estimated to occur annually. Age-group-specific SIARs were estimated for <5 years at 4·9% (2·1-13·7%), for 5-14 years at 3·0% (2·0-4·7%), for 15-44 years at 2·6% (2·1-3·2%), for 45-64 years at 1·9% (1·4-2·5%) and for 65 + years at 1·7% (1·0-3·0%). Under assumed vaccination uptake increases of 5% and 15%, 1970 and 5310 SI cases would be averted.</AbstractText><AbstractText Label="CONCLUSIONS" NlmCategory="CONCLUSIONS">By synthesising the available information on seasonal influenza and ILI from diverse sources, the annual extent of symptomatic infection can be derived. These estimates are useful for assessing the burden of seasonal influenza and for guiding vaccination policy.</AbstractText><CopyrightInformation>© 2013 The Authors. Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.</CopyrightInformation></Abstract><AuthorList CompleteYN="Y"><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>McDonald</LastName><ForeName>Scott A</ForeName><Initials>SA</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Centre for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, the Netherlands.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Presanis</LastName><ForeName>Anne M</ForeName><Initials>AM</Initials></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>De Angelis</LastName><ForeName>Daniela</ForeName><Initials>D</Initials></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>van der Hoek</LastName><ForeName>Wim</ForeName><Initials>W</Initials></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Hooiveld</LastName><ForeName>Mariette</ForeName><Initials>M</Initials></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Donker</LastName><ForeName>Gé</ForeName><Initials>G</Initials></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Kretzschmar</LastName><ForeName>Mirjam E</ForeName><Initials>ME</Initials></Author></AuthorList><Language>eng</Language><GrantList CompleteYN="Y"><Grant><GrantID>MC_U105260556</GrantID><Agency>Medical Research Council</Agency><Country>United Kingdom</Country></Grant></GrantList><PublicationTypeList><PublicationType UI="D016428">Journal Article</PublicationType></PublicationTypeList><ArticleDate DateType="Electronic"><Year>2013</Year><Month>11</Month><Day>10</Day></ArticleDate></Article><MedlineJournalInfo><Country>England</Country><MedlineTA>Influenza Other Respir Viruses</MedlineTA><NlmUniqueID>101304007</NlmUniqueID><ISSNLinking>1750-2640</ISSNLinking></MedlineJournalInfo><CitationSubset>IM</CitationSubset><MeshHeadingList><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D000293" MajorTopicYN="N">Adolescent</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D000328" MajorTopicYN="N">Adult</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D000368" MajorTopicYN="N">Aged</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D000369" MajorTopicYN="N">Aged, 80 and over</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D002648" MajorTopicYN="N">Child</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D002675" MajorTopicYN="N">Child, Preschool</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D005260" MajorTopicYN="N">Female</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D006801" MajorTopicYN="N">Humans</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D015994" MajorTopicYN="N">Incidence</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D007223" MajorTopicYN="N">Infant</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D007231" MajorTopicYN="N">Infant, Newborn</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D007251" MajorTopicYN="N">Influenza, Human</DescriptorName><QualifierName UI="Q000453" MajorTopicYN="Y">epidemiology</QualifierName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D008297" MajorTopicYN="N">Male</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D008875" MajorTopicYN="N">Middle Aged</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D009426" MajorTopicYN="N" Type="Geographic">Netherlands</DescriptorName><QualifierName UI="Q000453" MajorTopicYN="N">epidemiology</QualifierName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D055815" MajorTopicYN="N">Young Adult</DescriptorName></MeshHeading></MeshHeadingList><KeywordList Owner="NOTNLM"><Keyword MajorTopicYN="N">Bayesian evidence synthesis</Keyword><Keyword MajorTopicYN="N">incidence</Keyword><Keyword MajorTopicYN="N">seasonal influenza</Keyword><Keyword MajorTopicYN="N">vacciation</Keyword></KeywordList></MedlineCitation><PubmedData><History><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="accepted"><Year>2013</Year><Month>09</Month><Day>08</Day></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate 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last="Kretzschmar">Mirjam E. Kretzschmar</name><name sortKey="Presanis, Anne M" sort="Presanis, Anne M" uniqKey="Presanis A" first="Anne M" last="Presanis">Anne M. Presanis</name><name sortKey="Van Der Hoek, Wim" sort="Van Der Hoek, Wim" uniqKey="Van Der Hoek W" first="Wim" last="Van Der Hoek">Wim Van Der Hoek</name></noCountry><country name="Pays-Bas"><noRegion><name sortKey="Mcdonald, Scott A" sort="Mcdonald, Scott A" uniqKey="Mcdonald S" first="Scott A" last="Mcdonald">Scott A. Mcdonald</name></noRegion></country></tree></affiliations></record>Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
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